Looking at the Ensembles over the last week they have been pretty constant in bringing a nice size trough into the west. Then pumping a ridge in the center part of the nation then trying to put another trough into the Northeast. If this would set up it would allow the Gulf of Mexico to open up. Allowing very warm and moist air to rush north into the Central Plains and into the Mississippi Valley. Then would create pressure falls along the Lee side of the Rockies. Creating very stormy weather for the middle part of the nation including right here in Texoma. The longer range models such as the European and GFS now are jumping abroad at this idea. Both have a storm developing this coming weekend and slowly moving into the Plains. This would create 1-2 days of severe weather in the western Central Plains. So you bet I'll be watching this closely over the next week as typically severe weather really ramps up by the 20th. So climatology is also on our side with this pattern and La Nina years have typically brought severe weather earlier then non La Nina years. So stayed tuned as I will have another update later this week. Take care and by the way I just received my brand new Canon Xti Camera...Love it and can't wait to chase with it!
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