Winter Weather Update

I do hope everyone had a fantastic Christmas, I know I did being back in Indianapolis visiting friends and family. Thankfully Mother Nature released her grip from the brutal cold weather over the past week for a good portion of the US. As I mentioned about a week ago the cold weather would relax but hit with a vengeance by early January. So over the next week will be talking about the next Arctic blast and possible wintry weather. Here are some signs of the impending cold outbreak. As the Arctic Oscillation (AO) continues to go negative over the next 10days. Letting all the brutal cold air building up over the North Pole and Siberian to spill south. The cold weather will be forced south by the blocking over Greenland as the North Atlantic Oscillation continues to go negative. So some fun and games are in the cards over the next two weeks across the US. Stay Tuned and Happy New Years Everyone!! Be safe and responsible.

Winter Storm Update

Mixed Winter Precipitation is expected to increase in coverage and intensity during the afternoon. The potential of moderate to heavy freezing rain will increase from southwest to northeast. As the large western trough impinges on the Plains a strong low level jet with substantial warm air advection has developed from Eastern Oklahoma to Eastern Illinois. Temperatures at the surface continued to stay below freezing across much of Missouri, Illinois and Indiana. As warm air continues to build in at the mid levels eventually mixing down to the surface overnight. This warm air aloft has changed the precipitation to freezing rain and sleet across most of the area. Where the Arctic air remains deeper light snow will continue for a couple more hours. As strong forcing continues to build in with the warmer air aloft. Instability will increase giving the chance of thunderstorms to develop and move into the cold air. So heavy freezing rain or sleet with be possible under some of the thunderstorms especially across Missouri into Southern Illinois. By early evening some of the heavier precipitation will make it into Indiana and Ohio. Accumulation of ice especially on trees and power lines could add up to a quarter inch. This could cause some minor power outages and limbs to break.

Winter Storm starting to take shape

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SRN IL AND INCREASE ACROSS SRN IND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS FEATURE WAS LOCATED ALONG THE NOSE OF A POWERFUL 60 TO 80 KT LOW-LEVEL JET WHERE LIFT IS LIKELY MAXIMIZED. THIS BAND SHOULD BE MAINTAINED AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. ALTHOUGH SOME OBSERVATIONS ARE REPORTING LIGHT SNOW WITH THE BAND

RADAR ESTIMATES SUGGEST RATES OF .10 INCHES PER HOUR ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ACROSS PARTS OF SERN IL AND THIS INTENSITY SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE BAND MOVES EWD TOWARD INDIANAPOLIS. FREEZING RAIN WILL BE MOST LIKELY ON THE SRN EDGE OF THE BAND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SOME SLEET WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BEFORE TEMPS WARM ALOFT SUFFICIENTLY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

Next storm in line revs up

Another winter storm will travel from the Plains to the East coast over the next 3 days. As travel headaches can be expected from Tuesday afternoon to Christmas Day. Here is a quick look at a overview of Tuesday's setup. I'll try to find sometime tomorrow to post a more detailed timing of ice and snow for the Ohio Valley.

Chances of seeing a White Christmas....

Frigid Sunday Afternoon on the first day of Winter

The Siberian Express has definitely made a visit to the U.S. as temperatures are well below normal. Here are current temperatures across the U.S. during peak heating. Look at all of the area in the single digits to below zero. Temperatures will drop well below zero overnight and single digits across the country overnight. Remember Winter Solstice started this morning at 7:04am but the coldest day on average is generally is not till mid January.

I do however see a nice warming trend towards the new year as we finally release from the grips of Old Man Winter.

Cold Air is settles in

Wow! What a cold day across the United States especially for only the middle of December. These are temperatures at 3:45pm Eastern the warmest part of the day...

As the storm path is laid down with a mixture of snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain. The storm track will be from California to Maine over the next 5 days. Tonight through Tuesday a swath of snow and some ice will develop across Kansas and eastern parts of Oklahoma and head for the Ohio Valley. General 2-4 inch snowfall with some higher possible.

Wintry look to the work week

Arctic cold front keeps chugging south and now is from Southern Oklahoma, Southeast Missouri to Northwest Illinois. As temperatures in the Northern Plains never got above zero this afternoon. This front will continue to slide south and will be by Monday morning to Central Texas, Western Tennessee and Western Ohio. This front will eventually lose the southward push and this week's wintry weather will be just north of the stalled front. As at the mid levels 500mb(18,000ft) the winds are in a southwest flow from Arizona to New York. The fast flow will keep from large storms from forming but will eject out many pieces of energy. Each shortwave will produce some precipitation along and north of it. So from northern Oklahoma and the Central Plains east to north of the Ohio Rives a mixture of Freezing rain, sleet and snow will be possible. Some heavy rains will also be possible from Arkansas, Tennessee and Kentucky. This pattern is very Cold for the Northern Plains with several days below zero. While the Southeast really starts to heat up as the Southeast ridge builds and allows temps in the 70s and 80s.

So forecasts will change daily as the models are all over the place with the cold air and warm air battling. Keep up with all the local forecast as there will likely be some major travel issues this week with the ice and snow. Here is the Snow Cover from the Latest GFS by Friday afternoon of this week. I think the snowcover will be a little further south as I believe is surging the warm air to far north. So the southern edge will be from Northern Oklahoma to Saint Louis to Cincinnati. Here is my snowfall and ice areas of concern through Friday.

Stay Tuned a very fun time around the US weather wise.

Arctic air plunging quickly south

Quick Morning Update-

Here are the current temperatures at 11:15 eastern across the United States. Look at the sub-zero temperatures across the Northern Plains as temperatures have warmed into the lower 70s across Northern Texas. Across the Front in Kansas we're seeing a 60 degree temperature difference in a matter of 100 miles. Amazing temperature spreads will occur throughout the day temperatures tumble behind this sharp powerful cold front. Models even this morning are 5 to 10 degrees to warm with temperatures behind the front. Which is horrible and the speed of the front heading south is a lot faster then the models depicted as well. So the slashing of the computer models continues as the cold dense air will not be realized by the models probably till tonight. Active storm path from Amarillo Texas to Louisville Kentucky for wintry precip this week. As snow will fall to the north of this line and wintry mix along this line from tonight through the work week. A bigger storm my be in store for next weekend but lets get through the fast and smaller low pressures this week.

Winter Weather Update

Here is some of the latest temperatures over Canada and the United States. As you can see some very cold air has massed across Canada. It will be quickly surging south then east over the next couple of days. Sub-Zero temperatures have seeped into Montana, as blizzard warnings covered Montana, Wyoming, North and South Dakota. This Arctic cold front will race south and will be from Sunday Evening from the Panhandle of Texas to Northern Arkansas to Western Illinois. Lot of questions still exist on the density of the cold air and far south it will run. As models are almost laughable in warmth in my eyes across the Southern Plains and Ohio Valley. Here are the GFS MOS data from 18z ( 1pm Saturday afternoon)

For Example: Model Data prints out high temperatures vs. what I believe

Lawton Indianapolis

Mon. 37 28 40 Falling Temps to the 20s

Tue. 43 33 36 28

Wed. 48 34 36 27

Thurs. 55 39 41 35

You can notice I'm a lot lower in temperatures as the models are not picking up on the shallow dense cold air. That will make it a lot further south and last longer then what the model thinks. Another reason the cold air will be able to last is the expanding snow cover this week down to the I-40 corridor in the Southern Plains and I-70 across the Midwest and Ohio Valley. As the cold air will continue to build with high pressures expanding over the large snow pack in Canada and diving south.

Snow/Ice Map will be issued tomorrow with the timing of the systems this week. Fast flow as cold air surges south with several weak weather systems.

Ice, Snow and Very Cold air on the Way

Will have much more later on the upcoming winter weather next week. As from the Southern Plains to the Ohio Valley will be ground zero for ice and snow. Very cold Arctic air dives south from Canada over the weekend. As warmer air tries to fight it off but the cold air will win as it will make it pretty far south into Texas and into the Tennessee Valley. So as the warm air overrides the cold air at the surface. Rain, Freezing rain, Sleet and Snow will break out along the front/baroclinic zone and north of it. As here in Texoma and also into Central Indiana are looking at several chances of Wintry weather next week. Much more on the details and amounts over the next several days as we get closer to next week. Models are starting to catch on but have been horribly under-doing the cold dense air.... Here it comes! A very cold and snowy time as we head to Christmas as its looking like a white Christmas for a lot of areas.

Cold shifts west as storm moves to the east

First major winter cyclone is now forming across the Oklahoma panhandle and will race off to the northeast later tonight. As showers and thunderstorms some severe will break out this evening from parts of Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana and Missouri. Snow will also begin to form across the Central Plains as the arctic cold front continues to push south. No real big changes on the track or snowfall predictions as snowfall wise. Here is the latest NAM snowfall Prediction for the next 84 hours. (Click on picture to make bigger)

Now beyond this period like mentioned in the previous blog is that the extreme cold in the East is going to ease up. As the mean trough shifts west for a week or so only building and damning up the extreme cold air. This will charge down the Plains by Sunday and Monday placing temperatures across the Plains 10 to possibly 25 degrees below normal. For instance here in Lawton the GFS MOS is predicting a high temperature of 54 degrees. I think the cold air is so dense with nothing really to stop it. That it quickly charges south on Sunday and Monday that the cold front is knocking on south Texas. So Lawton's high temperatures will likely be in the lower to middle 30s Monday afternoon. This is just an example of the models under doing the cold dense air just like last weeks cold outbreak( ie. Omaha). The brutal cold air will eventually shift East out of the Plains by around the 20th. Here is the latest EURO model that is handling the push to the south of the cold air. (Click on Picture to make bigger)

First Winter Storm with limited Cold Air

The talked about Arctic outbreak and winter storm will be much weaker then feared. As the energy from the Northern Jet stream and Southern Jet Stream will not phase. This has been the norm for this Fall and if continues will help keep the brutal temperatures and significant snow storms away. With that being said there will be still be a pretty good low pressure that with form in Oklahoma on Monday and move northeast towards Illinois or Indiana by Tuesday night. This will produce lots of rain for the Southern Gulf states north to the Ohio Valley. Some severe weather will be possible Monday night and Tuesday across far southeast Texas into Louisiana and Mississippi. Snow will also begin to fly from the Texas Panhandle northeast to Missouri on Tuesday. Some areas of From the Oklahoma Panhandle throughout southern Kansas to NW Missouri could see 2-4 inches with isolated 6 inch amounts. As strong north winds 30-40mph pull in colder air as temperatures drop during the day. As the area of low pressure pulls to the north it will begin to weaken and become sheared out. So the precipitation will become lighter and scattered in nature towards the Ohio Valley. As with the track of the low pressure, plenty of warm will be drawn north keeping most of the precipitation across the area in the form of rain. Here is the latest GFS computer model for Tuesday Evening. Looking ahead the Arctic air continues to build off to the north but with the lack of blocking it will stay to the north over the next 7 days. So expect a relaxation of the cold air for the East and South this week. As the trough axis shifts from over the Ohio Valley to the west over the Rockies. Still believe towards Christmas the True Siberian Express comes down with one or two major winter storms ahead of the brutal cold air. Still lots of potential in this weather patter so stay tuned as the damn could break at anytime.

Coldest Air of the Season & Possibly Record Breaking

While We try to stay warm from the current surge of Arctic air. A new beast of cold air is already forming in Siberia and is taking dead aim on the United States. Here is last week's departures from average Temperatures and Precipitation. Please keep checking back on here as I'm tracking very closely the possibility of some record breaking cold air. Also the makings of a major winter storm from the Plains and into the East next week. That would produce heavy rains on the warm side of it from the Gulf Coast to the East coast. Then a swath of Ice and Snow from Oklahoma to the Ohio Valley north of the lows track . In the low pressure would track from Texas on Tuesday northeast to the Ohio Valley By Thursday. Stay Tuned as this storm could pull down Frigid temperatures as cold as 10 to 20 degrees below zero.

Cold Temperatures Take Over

Our much talked about surge of cold air continues to filter in across a good portion of the Plains and into the East. 24 hour temperature differences across the Southern Plains are nearing 30 degrees. As temperatures are struggling to get out of the single digits across the Northern Plains. Over the next several days the cold air will linger around as we'll see below normal temperatures by 15 to 25 degrees. By the weekend some moderation will start to be evident across the Plains while the East will remain in the deep freeze. Here are the predicted high temperatures for Thursday. A pretty quite pattern for the rest of the work week as a possible minor Northeast snow storm is possible during the weekend. The next large weather system across the country looks to be by mid week as a large Pacific storm crashes into the the West. Stay Tuned.

Winter Weather Update Sunday 11am

Round #1 of snow has moved through the Ohio Valley as the area of low pressure now located near Indianapolis (Little further east then I and the models expected). Will continue to move northeast slowly over the next 24hours. By Monday afternoon will eventually move out of the area as the low pressure moves northeast of Detroit into Canada. As additional energy and the upper level low continues to phase into the surface low. Snow showers will once again develop across Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio. The heaviest snow band like posted yesterday will be across Central/Northern Illinois, Northern Indiana and Southern lower Michigan. Here are some of the snow totals across the area from overnight into this Sunday morning.

Kokomo, Indiana- 3.o Inches

Indianapolis, Indiana- .5 inches

Lafayette, Indiana- 1.1 inches

Champaign, Illinois- 2.6 inches

Bloomington, Illinois- 4.o inches

I agree with the NWS in Indianapolis forecast for additional snowfall thru Monday evening. So here is their latest snowfall prediction with a general 1-3 inches.

Winter Weather Update- Weekend Storm

Quick weekend update on the developing winter storm and trough over the eastern portion of the United States. An weak area of low pressure currently located in northern Alabama will start to strengthen as it pulls north overnight into Sunday. As colder air dives in behind the storm a moderately strong upper level low pressure currently over Missouri. Helps strengthens the low pressure over Alabama as it heads towards Ohio.

This area of low pressure will not be as strong as thought earlier this week. As the upper level and lower levels never really phased together. Which would allow a transfer of energy to the east coast producing a deeper low pressure. So with that being said I would expect a wide area of snow showers across the Ohio Valley Sunday into Monday. The heaviest snow band with the low pressure will likely be north of the line from Saint Louis, Missouri to Lafayette, Indiana to Detroit, Michigan. In which I could see an isolated amount up to 6 inches but most area will receive 2-4 inches. Rest of the Ohio Valley will eventually see the colder air change the rain into snow but will likely see less than 2 inches of accumulation. Click on the City NWS links on the right side of the page for the latest local forecast.

No matter what very cold air will come in two shots this week with the first shot this weekend and a bigger shot coming in mid-week. Which will likely produce high temperatures well below normal for alot of the Central and Eastern Unites States. We're talking high temperatures in the 20s across the Ohio Valley. I'll have another update on the Cold plunge later today or on Sunday.

Happy Thanksgiving! Winter Update

Happy Thanksgiving! I hope everyone and their family have a very full and delightful holiday.

If you remember back to last Thursday's posting I mentioned two storm systems with the second one being the bigger one. Well it looks like things are starting to come together for just that as the models are finally starting to catch on to it. Instead of rehashing what I said please scroll down and review on what I thought would be the pattern going into December.

This coming weekend Storm #1 develops across the east coast and could produce a swath of snow from Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio and points to the northeast. As of now the snow will be light across the Ohio Valley but increase in coverage and intensity as the storms strengthens off the northeast coast. This will have limited cold air behind it as the true Arctic air is now just crossing the pole and will be in great supply across Canada for Storm #2.

This will develop as the Southern Jet stream meets up with a pretty potent s/w coming out of western Canada by the middle of next week. As Storm #1 doesn't take all the energy out of the desert Southwest and allows #2 to phase with the left over energy. This is called a money in the bank scenario as the leftover energy is the key piece in the development of the storm. You'll liking here me say this several more times over the winter. Now there is a slight chance that storm#1 doesn't leave anything in the back. If that would occur storm#2 will be much weaker and wouldn't pull down the Arctic air late next week.

Here is the latest model run of the European and GFS for this Sunday morning. Notice the difference as the models tend to always have trouble with the money in the bank scenario. We're looking at an very active over the next 10 days. Stay tuned for further updates as big storm possibilities are out there for not only the East Coast but the Ohio Valley and Southern Plains as well. Keep checking back as this could be the first significant snowfall across the Ohio Valley and greater Northeast late this weekend.

Arctic Plunge on the way

Ensembles and teleconnections continue to support a major cold outbreak as we head into December. As mentioned back in October and stated again last week. Is that I continue to predict a major cold wave in December. If you remember back in the Winter Forecast I mentioned the year 1989 as one of the years showing up on the anomalies. Well we might challenge some of those records from 89' especially across the areas east of the Mississippi River. Here is the latest Arctic Oscillation which is showing it tanking negative as we head towards mid-month. Also the latest GFS ensemble which show well below normal heights with the upper level winds coming straight south from the North Pole. Keep checking back as I'll be posting a more detailed forecast for the Thanksgiving holiday and Upcoming Cold weather.

A chilly November will turn active

As advertised by my Winter Forecast things have turned out chilly for portions of the Central and Eastern United States. Currently Cold Air was racing south across the Plains and into the East as this will be the final shot of really cold air for the next couple weeks. Now that doesn't rule out some cold air but nothing that will drop highs some 15 to 25 degrees below normal. As a pattern change is occurring and will start to be felt as we head into Thanksgiving week. This will mean great news for the fire ravaged areas of Southern California. They will be likely seeing a wetter two week period starting next week and lasting into the beginning of December. The jet stream will likely take a split flow as the northern branch will shift a little further north from west to east. As the southern jet gets active from the four corners and across the Southern Plains. Here is how below normal we have been over the past week across the US.

This pattern change has been supported for over a week now on the European and GFS ensembles but not until the last couple of runs on the actual GFS model as the European model has been handling this pattern the best. Now this will likely be a battle of the jets as the cold air will be making another charge indicted by the latest Arctic Oscillation(AO) as it goes Negative so do the temperatures across Canada and the US by the 10th of December.

Again just like I mentioned on my Winter Forecast the Climate Prediction continues to hold on to its warm bias of the winter season. As they're predicting a warmer than average month for the central Plains and no below normal temperatures across the US. As I believe the above normal will be more towards the Four Corners area with Below normal across the Northern Plains and alot of areas east of the Mississippi River. As I mentioned above, the cold air will be arriving in a big way by around the 10th of December. Here is the Climate Prediction Center December Outlook. Which is obvisously not seeing what I'm seeing.

Here is what I see happening in a general description over the next two weeks. This weekend a storms develops over the Ohio Valley and into the Interior Northeast with a mix of rain and snow. This will bring a cold shot of air but further north and east as the last two so no real cold gets pushed west of the Mississippi River. Then as energy dumps into the West and the northern Jet lifts north and becomes more zonal. This will allow the Southern Jet to lift north and phase with the energy diving off the West Coast. Then by Thanksgiving or the weekend following a piece of energy out of the Polar Jet with crash into the Northwest and either pick the energy up or phase with the energy hanging back into the Southwest and Southern Plains. This will then create a rain and snow storm that will either head up towards the Lakes or head east then reform across the Mid Atlantic and head northeast. As Arctic air gets drawn in behind it into Canada but I think this storm just sets the stage for the full blast of Cold air coming in about a week behind this storm around the 10th of December. This will likely place high temperatures 15 to 20 degrees below normal with widespread snow cover starting to show up from back to back storm systems. Here is last years and then the current Snow Cover Map as of the US.

So enjoy the moderating trend over the next 7 to 10 days across the Central and Eastern United States. As the rains finally develop across the south the cold air builds north. Then will finally meet to become a very fun, cold and snowy Holiday time period. Its beginning to look like a White Christmas as we'll be talking about the possibilities of that here in the coming weeks. Thanks again for checking out my website and encourage you pass this site along to others and help me grow. Justin

11-10-08 Severe weather recap

November 11th, 2008 Severe weather recap

Total Miles- 151 miles
Total Storms- 1
Tornadoes-0
Hail- couple pea size hail stones

Wall cloud- One very ragged one that was quickly demolished by outflow
Damage- None

Max Wind Gust-36 mph inflow and 41 outflow recorded by Interceptor

Very interesting chase as things during the morning seemed to only get better to end up as a bust. The majority of Texoma had a slight risk with a greater risk of severe weather to the southeast of the area. By 11am the warm front continued to very slowly work it way north as a 700mb dryslot was quickly racing northeast across the area as skies become partly sunny. Then by 1pm a couple isolated showers started to develop just south of the warm front and in front of the dryline was slowly pressing east. Here is the radar view and SPC outlook as we headed towards the cell from the station at 1pm. A tornado Watch was also issued for our southern counties marked in a red box on the radar below.

As we headed towards this cell to our southwest the weather conditions changed greatly as we went from cloudy with temps. in the upper 50s to temps to near 70 degrees. Once we arrived and got into position to watch the storm just east of Devol on highway 70. The storm started to intensify within ten minutes as a severe t'storm warning was issued at 1:39pm. We're at the location of the white circle just northeast of the storm. Nickel to Quarter Size hail was reported to our due west around 1:50pm.

At 2:15pm I did a call-in on air as we were on the air doing severe weather coverage. However at this time the storm had crossed the warm front and become outflow dominant. Then we decided to head south towards Wichita Falls and caught this last attempt to organize.

We then headed south on highway 281 south of Wichita Falls into Archer County. Where we parked and looked to the west at the dryline about 50miles to the west. Hoping with all the sunshine, temperatures in the lower 70s and dewpoints in the lower 60s. That more severe thunderstorms would fire up and take advantage of the decent helicity values. Well the cap was to strong and the forecasted shortwave was slower in coming out and was less negatively tilted as advertised. So we headed back to the station at end the chase by around 5pm.

Another Severe Weather Outbreak probably bigger

Wow, looking at some of the model data and surface analysis paints an very unstable atmosphere later this afternoon. Currently the SPC has a slight risk from parts of Oklahoma south into Texas. After looking at things this morning I wouldn't be surprised if they upgrade portions of the slight risk into a moderate risk. As very strong upper level winds will overlay the turning of the winds near the surface to promote the development of supercells by mid afternoon. The likely moderate risk area will be from Abilene to just south of Dallas to along I-35 west to near Junction, Texas. This area will have the greatest threat of tornadoes including some strong tornadoes by late afternoon. For the Texoma area we're watching how far north the warm front moves and how much sunlight/heating we can get by mid afternoon. Currently there is quite a bit of clearing off to the south and west. As storms have already pulled north of the viewing area for the most part. This could be another chase day for me across North Texas as I'll probably head out by 2pm. Latest Outlook posted at 7am Central time.

Another day of Severe weather in November

Greetings from Texoma on this crisp chilly morning in early November. Which from the feel of the air this morning, its hard to imagine I'm posting about severe weather. However a small vigorous shortwave is charging its way south and east across California currently. Modified tropical air is now starting to make its surge north across northern Mexico and far southern Texas. As upper level divergence and lift starts to move over the moist air showers and t'storms will form very late overnight into Monday morning across Northern Texas and parts of Oklahoma. Some of these storms will be capable of producing hail up to quarters. Then if the clouds and rain of the warm front can pull north and east of Texoma. The dryline moving across the area during the afternoon and evening could produce more severe weather. The models have continued to decrease the speed of the system and the veering of the winds. So severe weather is looking more and more possible for portions of the area. I'll have another update later on this evening as some of the short models will start coming in. Stay Tuned! Here is the latest severe weather outlook from SPC..... Monday OUTLOOK

Severe Weather Recap for 11-5-08

November 5th, 2008 Storm chase Recap

Total Miles- 154 miles

Total Storms- 3

Tornadoes-0

Hail- Fallen dime to nickel size (covering the ground)

Wall cloud- 3 with one with slow broad rotation

Damage- wind damage 60-70mph (micro burst)
Recorded wind gust of 47mph on Interceptor

Started the day with a nice slight risk area for our eastern counties of the viewing area in southwest Oklahoma. As storms were forecasted to start firing along a dryline by 3pm right around Lawton and points east. By 1:30pm a small shower started to develop just north of Lawton in Caddo county. This however was having a hard time getting going so around 2pm Ollie(station photographer) and I took off north on I-44 heading northeast to Chickasha as a Tornado Watch was posted for the area. As we were heading northeast we noticed several towers going up to our southwest which was good news because the storms raced northeast at around 45mph. So it was pretty much get ahead of them and watch them go by and try to keep up with them for a little while.

So as we reached Chickasha we noticed that the storms to our north we racing out of the area so we got into position to intersect the storms north developing over Lawton. So we head down highway 81 towards Rush Springs were we watched Storm#1, Storm #2 and Storm #3 from. Storm #1 wasn't warned by was very photogenic with a nice rainshaft and great updraft tower. Storm #2 as it passed to our northwest gained strength quickly and was warned from our area north for large hail up to quarters. Storm #3 from this location developed very quickly and dumped very heavy rain right overhead then produced a beautiful rainbow and rainshaft in the sun(see pictures).

Then thing calmed down a little as we didn't see any real towers going up to the west. So we decided to head a little south towards Duncan as a small shower was developing on Cotton county to the southwest. This would be our last storm as sunset is at 5:30pm now. So we headed on the westside of Duncan and found a great viewing spot. We then watched this storm develop from a thundercloud with very little falling precip to a very strong storm as it passed overhead. This storm became better organized as it raced northeast towards us. As the meso passed right over us a severe t'storm warning was issued for the storm. As radar and also by sight was showing this storm really starting to wrap us a little. Shortly before passing overhead a small RFD notch started to cut into the updraft as rising scud quickly formed a wall cloud. As it passed overhead it displayed lots of movement and a very broad but distinct circulation as we got hit with a wind gust of 47mph from the RFD. This eventually developed a decent wall cloud for about 10 mins as it raced northeast. We packed up and followed it as it tried to lower several times. As we headed behind it we went through the city of Marlow which had been turned into a winter wonderland with dime to penny size hail covering the grass like a light dusting of snow. As night fell the storm weakened but was still producing inch size hail as I did a phoner for the top of the 6 o'clock news. I was then told after doing my report from the field that wind damage had been reported in Duncan about 3 miles northwest of the location where we were watching the storm from. So we found the gentleman's house and took some footage of his downed tree, blown over fence and shed that had been pushed off this foundation. It looked like a microburst of around 60-70mph as it was a very small area of damage.

According to the SPC there were 137 reports of severe weather with 4 tornadoes reported in far southwest Missouri overnight.

Here is a link of the entire photo gallery from this chase.... Enjoy the Pictures