Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Night before the chase

Greetings Everyone! This will short and sweet as I'm about to head to the airport to pick up becky. As her flight got delayed due to the MCS going through north Texas heading towards where she came from Dallas.

Forecast- Lots of rain this evening with a complex of severe t'storms that has a pretty nice cold pool behind it. Notice though that things have rebounded a little over the Texas panhandle with main short wave. As a new low pressure has deepened over Oklahoma Panhandle. This might be a saving factor for tomorrow as dry air has not come surging in behind the first shortwave. Water vapor does show some energy still left in the southwest flow that will move across tomorrow afternoon. Models have done horrible the last two days with placement of fronts, low pressure and convection. So I think its a crap shoot on tomorrow but think we'll see some supercells from Oklahoma panhandle southeast to near Dallas along a stalled front. We'll see what overnight models and upper air soundings have to say. For now i'll leave you with the current day2 outlook from SPC. I'll have a full pre chase day 1 analysis tomorrow morning.

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