Conditions are now starting to come together for a small outbreak of severe weather across the Central and Southern Plains this afternoon and evening. Currently a deepening area of low pressure was over Nebraska as a trailing cold front was across central Nebraska southwest to the Texas Panhandle. A dry line was also starting to form across western Oklahoma as south winds continued to bring in moderated moist air ahead of the fronts. By early afternoon isolated severe storm will begin to develop along the front from north to south.
Here in Texoma we are looking at the chance of severe weather this afternoon after 3pm. The dryline in the last couple of model runs have slowed down. So this is allowing parts of Texoma to be under the gun with isolated severe t'storms. Damaging winds and Large hail up to 2 inches will be possible. If storms can get going and mature within 45mins of their development the tornado threat will increase in them. The SPC has no updated there outlook and placed parts of Oklahoma and Kansas in a moderate risk.
Current plans for me is to head back to the station by 2pm and head out to chase with a photographer. Right now thinking about setting up just east of Lawton and then watching to see where the dryline is and how the convection is developing. I'll try to update this later this afternoon if not I'll have an review of the storms tomorrow.
Latest SPC Outlook
Severe Weather in Indiana?
Looking ahead to Thursday some severe weather will be possible but expect things to really quiet down before getting to Indiana. The surface ridging over the Gulf of Mexico has really choked off the moisture from heading north into the Ohio Valley. So maybe a strong storm or two is still possible Thursday evening and overnight. Besides that it looks quiet until next week where there might be a chance of rain/snow mix.... Stay Tuned!
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