Looking at the day 3 outlook we have southwest Oklahoma in the slight risk catagory for severe weather. Right now its looking like a decent cold core situation with the possibility of isolated tornadoes and large hail. Upper level energy will race southeast from the Rockies into Oklahoma late on the day Monday. This is while a stationary front is stalled out over the area with increasing moisture heading north from Texas. There looks to be plenty of shear however dewpoints in the lower 50s don't look the greatest with temps in the low 70s. So the dewpoint depression might be a little too high for that big of tornado risk. Also what will Sunday afternoon winds look like from Oklahoma to Texas as a back door cold front will be moving in. Depending how quickly the winds shift back to the southeast to transport the moisture from the Gulf Coast will be key. Either way I have the day off and planning to be in Oklahoma city that night to visit with friends. So I will likely be chasing and hoping for storms to develop that afternoon. EDIT** 2/27/08 Severe weather was well southeast of the Texoma area and alot weaker then forecasted. So stay tuned for the first chase day of 2008.
Saturday, February 9, 2008
Possible first chase day of 2008
Looking at the day 3 outlook we have southwest Oklahoma in the slight risk catagory for severe weather. Right now its looking like a decent cold core situation with the possibility of isolated tornadoes and large hail. Upper level energy will race southeast from the Rockies into Oklahoma late on the day Monday. This is while a stationary front is stalled out over the area with increasing moisture heading north from Texas. There looks to be plenty of shear however dewpoints in the lower 50s don't look the greatest with temps in the low 70s. So the dewpoint depression might be a little too high for that big of tornado risk. Also what will Sunday afternoon winds look like from Oklahoma to Texas as a back door cold front will be moving in. Depending how quickly the winds shift back to the southeast to transport the moisture from the Gulf Coast will be key. Either way I have the day off and planning to be in Oklahoma city that night to visit with friends. So I will likely be chasing and hoping for storms to develop that afternoon. EDIT** 2/27/08 Severe weather was well southeast of the Texoma area and alot weaker then forecasted. So stay tuned for the first chase day of 2008.
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