Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Chase #3 of The Year Looks Interesting for Tomorrow

After a quieter day than anticipated tomorrow looks like it definitely has the possibility of being a very active one. Currently the SPC has a good portion of Oklahoma under a slight risk with a smaller area under a moderate risk.
The only thing I will say about the SPC outlook and graphic below from the NWS in OKC is that the dryline will likely be further west.
Models did a lousy job on the placement of the dryline today and typically are a little fast on movement. So I expect Super cells to develop by 4pm in western Oklahoma along 183 from Clinton south to Frederick. These storms will evolve and mature as they cross into central Oklahoma by early evening. Very large hail looks to be the biggest threat up 3 inches in diameter but a few tornadoes do look likely. More details tomorrow but wanted to put down and couple thoughts here before bed.

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