Looking at the latest 8-14 analogs and GFS ensembles the dry conditions across the south look to continue. As the NAO continues to disrupt the overall moisture feed from the Gulf with a high pressure over it.
From the March 2011 Enso Update
"The moderate to strong La Niña conditions that were observed betweeen mid-August 2010 and early February 2011 have weakened to weak to moderate strength as of mid-March 2011. For the March-May season currently in progress, there is an approximately 75% probability for continuing La Niña conditions, and a 24% probability for returning to neutral ENSO conditions. Probabilities for La Niña conditions drop to just below 50% for the April-June season."
I'll try to get the maps together here in the next day or two. Hopefully that'll give me some hope but here in the Southern Plains. We could be looking a pretty bad drought this summer with limited storms to chase this spring.
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