Severe Weather still just rumors....

Since March 2nd our weather pattern for the most part has been pretty cool and quiet in terms of severe weather. We did see some severe weather in the way of hail storms and flash flooding on March 17th. Looking at the week and weeks beyond the pattern doesn't look favorable for a big severe weather outbreak. However we're getting into late March and the conditions are becoming more favorable in terms of warmth and moisture. This week we do have a slight risk of severe weather across mainly eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri on Thursday afternoon. There might be another chance of severe weather again on Sunday. The overall pattern isn't the most favorable for large storm systems and severe weather. Looking ahead to the first two weeks of April the pattern will likely slowly change so the that instead of a northwest flow across the plains that a trough will form over the west and a weaker trough into the northeast. This will allow storm systems to develop along the lee side of the Rockies. Also allow plenty of Gulf of Mexico moisture to return for any of the disturbances interact with. So for the near term nothing to exciting expected but will have to watch things as will see at least some instability and warm temperatures over the next week.