Good Saturday morning, Looking at the morning models it is looking like a outbreak of severe weather is likely Sunday evening into Monday evening. For the Texoma area there will be one maybe two different time chances of severe weather. The first time frame will be after 5pm Sunday afternoon lasting well into the evening hours. The second time frame will be after 1pm to around 6pm. The morning models show very little precip breaking out in Oklahoma during the afternoon or evening Sunday. The cap looks to be strong and the upper level energy lacking a little. So with weak convergence during the daylight hours and lift at the mid levels thunderstorms could not develop until overnight. One thing that isn't questionable is that the parameters for a major tornadic event across western Oklahoma and southern Kansas look high. If any storms do break the cap and can develop they will likely be tornadic and some could produce very long liver and strong tornadoes. I will post more on this later with some graphic once I get a chance to look over more information. Expect alot of blogs over the next couple of days.
No comments:
Post a Comment