Looking at the latest models and current observations, conditions are starting to line themselves up for a widespread wind event from Illinois to Ohio. Isolated tornadoes will be possible along with large hail however those threat will likely be early on in the storm development. Mainly across SE Iowa and Illinois before they mature cluster and produce a damaging
derecho that will race east through the evening. Although the tornado threat is on the low side as it looks now. Don't underestimate the damage straight line winds can make and the dangers that comes with it. There is a lot of heat and humidity slamming into a northwest flow aloft that is trying to pull down drier and cool air aloft. This will make for a very unstable atmosphere that will help development storms and move them along rather quickly. Right now the Storm Prediction Center has a moderate risk out for severe storms from SE Iowa to Western Pennsylvania. If the morning thunderstorms continue to fade away and we get temperatures well into the 80s across the southern sections of these states. I could see a High risk being placed for the cluster of storms I'm worried about forming from Illinois to Ohio.
Stay Tuned and keep abreast of the changing weather conditions in your area.
**Side Note- Latest models for next week's
Chasecation are looking favorable for some nice active weather** =) -Justin-
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