Looking Ahead To This Week And Into November

Pattern has slowed down a little and I have been a little busy so I haven't posted that much lately. However don't worry I have been still watching the weather and been trying to find time to continue to put together the winter forecast.

The coldest October in Denver history was 1969 with 2002 ranked 3rd. Right now, the month is 7.5 below normal (through today) But another week of double digit below normal cold is shaping up, with a snowstorm likely later in the week this should have them finish between 8 and 9 below normal.. not as cold as 1969, but near or lower than 02. Denver Coldest Octobers

A couple interesting storm systems this week as the first one is developing right over top of me here in Oklahoma. Then the second coming up mid week that the models still having several different scenarios. Now looking ahead to the next week and the next month. So  lets play the typhoon game again!

Lupit is recurving now so punch the 6-10 day clock of the trough coming through the east with a 5 day period of below normal temps.

Latest Ensemble Run

Here is the latest Ensembles that shows one more shot of some cold air into the Central Plains then into the East by months end. Then I do believe at the start of November the cold will ease and retreat north. However will build across Canada and will set the stage to plumnet into the deep freeze. The latest ensemble run really shows the cold air that will likely build across Canada as we go into November. Looking at previous analogs years that match to this years October. The damn could break right before Thanksgiving or could wait for the Winter Soltice. I guess we'll have to wait and see