Quick Update on Chase 2009

Extremely busy trying to get ready for mini chase 2009 and dealing with a couple unexpected issues. The official start will be this Thursday June 11th. However we might make it out for a while tomorrow evening across Southwest Oklahoma. As Becky gets off the plane at 5:55pm here in Lawton. Models continue to have a lot of issues with the southwest flow of the southern stream and split flow across the West of the two jet streams. Within these two bands of strong upper level winds are short waves or enhanced lift(energy). Each one of these helps creates lift and t'storms to form. It also helps determine where areas of low pressure form and strength of them. Right now the models have big difference in strength and timing of these short waves. So right now I'm not really looking too far down the road towards Friday or Saturday. Like I mentioned earlier Wednesday does look decent for severe weather across the Texoma area. So a brief evening chase could happen but we'll for sure get out on Thursday. As Thursday has even bigger question marks in where the instability sets up. Here is the latest outlook from the SPC for Wednesday and Thursday. I'll have more on tomorrow's possible chase by early afternoon so make sure you check back.