Severe weather & Big snows all in the next week of weather.

Our very active pattern continues with a parade of storms across the Pacific.

Storm #1 continues to spin its way eastward across Arizona after putting down some heavy rain. This upper level low will continue east with showers and thunderstorms exploding by dusk in Eastern New Mexico. As very powerful upper level winds will help develop a strong squall line that will race overnight across the Texas Panhandle then through Oklahoma and northern Texas by early morning. Some of the thunderstorms before midnight will be capable of large hail up to nickels and damaging winds. As these storms race east damaging winds and small hail will be possible throughout the night despite the limited instability. So it might be an active overnight for me at work as I'll probably be at the station by 2am to start my Monday morning...yuck!

Here is the latest severe weather outlook as of mid afternoon and don't forget for all the latest weather information. Scroll down to the bottom of the page and check out the storm center.

Monday the line of showers and storms will weaken as it races northeast away from the strongest dynamics. Some severe storms and maybe a tornado or two may develop across Eastern Nebraska and far west Iowa under the upper level low. Right now the model indicate some sunshine might break through in the dry slot. If some low level instability and CAPE can form. Strong directional shear and helicity values would promote a possible cold core setup with 500mb temperatures under -25C. Right now SPC only has a see text but will be monitoring the dryslot very closely for surface heating.

Storm#2

Tuesday and Wednesday will be the biggest two days so far this year for severe storms. As a possible early season outbreak will be possible from south central Oklahoma and north Texas on Tuesday afternoon east and north to the Ohio and Mississippi Valley on Wednesday. Models continue to have differences but recognizing the pattern and usual model flaws. This area will be under the gun and tornadoes will be produced along with a nasty squall line overnight. As a very fast developing low pressure deepens over far southeast Colorado and races northeast to far southern Wisconsin by Wednesday afternoon. This will surge a powerful cold front east and even behind this front gusty winds will gust over 50mph down the plains on Wednesday. Here is the latest Day 3 and Day 4 severe weather outlooks from SPC.

This cold front will likely be the end to the unseasonably warm weather across the Northern and Central Plains. Then eventually by the end of the work week the cold air will build into the Ohio Valley. So by Friday when the next storm in line comes throughout the west and enters the Southern Plains. The areas around the I-70 corridor from Kansas to Maryland will be seeing snow instead of rain. An area of low pressure looks to form from the Texas Panhandle and bowls its way east across the Tennessee Valley by Saturday. Then off the Mid-Atlantic coast by late Saturday or early Sunday morning. The models and ensembles have been highly supportive of this solution. Snowfall amounts will change many times based on strength of the low, amount of moisture ahead of the storm and speed of the system. However I can see a nice 4-8 inch snowfall along the I-70 corridor. This is only the first week of our 3 week stretch of our fast split flow.